Stock Markets Weekly Report from 16/05/2005 to 20/05/2005

 

Indices

HSI

Dow Jones

Nasdaq

S&P 500

13/05

13,866.81

10,140.12

1,976.78

1,154.05

16/05

Closed

10,252.29

1,994.43

1,165.66

17/05

13,667.03

10,331.88

2,004.15

1,173.80

18/05

13,627.01

10,464.45

2,030.65

1,185.56

19/05

13,698.93

10,493.19

2,042.58

1,191.08

20/05

13,717.42

10,471.91

2,046.42

1,189.28

Change

-149.38

+331.79

+69.64

+35.25

% Change

-1.07%

+3.27%

+3.52%

+3.05%

 

 

Last Week

U.S.
Stocks retreated the week as investors worried about the pace of growth. Stocks opened higher as boosted by strength in financial and select technology shares. However, the market was hit hard Thursday on a drop in oil prices and a rise in the dollar, which caused broad weakness in a number of commodity and materials stocks sectors that had propelled the recent advance. For the week, the Dow Jones slid 205 points, or 2% to 10,345.40, the S&P 500 fell 17 points, or 1.5% to 1,154.05, while the Nasdaq gained 9 points or 0.5% to 1,976.78.


Hong Kong
Stocks retreated the week to close below the psychological level of 14,000-point. Following United States and other Asian markets, which concerned that high crude oil prices, investors preferred to take profit. The benchmark index continuously dropped Friday as hurt by falling world oil prices and market digested effect of a possible currency revaluation on money flows. For the week, the HSI slid 205 points or 2% to 10,140.12.  Average daily turnover was thin at HK$13.26 billion.


This Week

U.S.

Ø       On Mon 16/05, stocks snapped back the session, rallying soundly after last week・s big sell-off amid strength in retail and financial. The Dow Jones gained 112 points to 10,252.29, the S&P 500 rose 11 points to 1,165.66, and the Nasdaq added 17 points to 1,994.43.

Ø       On Tue 17/05, stocks staged a late rally after the US issued its toughest warning to China on currency yet, saying China will be named a manipulative trading partner unless it makes the RMB more flexible. The Dow Jones gained 79 points to 10,331.88, the S&P 500 rose 8 points to 1,173.80, and the Nasdaq added 9 points to 2,004.15.

Ø       On Wed 18/05, stocks rallied for a third straight day as a mild inflation report cheered the bulls and cooled worries that the Federal Reserve would need to speed up its rate-hiking campaign. The Dow Jones soared 132 points to 10,464.45, the S&P 500 gained 11 points to 1,185.56, and the Nasdaq rose 26 points to 2,030.65.

Ø       On Thu 19/05, stocks rose for the fourth straight day as strength in the technology sector gave the broader market a push near the close. The Dow Jones gained 28 points to 10,493.19, the S&P 500 rose 5 points to 1,191.08, and the Nasdaq added 11 points to 2,042.58.

Ø       On Fri 20/05, stocks performed mixed, as blue-chips inched lower, techs closed higher as markets stabilize at end of upbeat week. The Dow Jones slid 21 points to 10,471.91, the S&P 500 inched down 1 point to 1,189.28, and the Nasdaq rose 3 points to 2,046.42.

For the week, the Dow was up around 331 points, or 3.27%, the Nasdaq was up around 69 points, or 3.5%, and the S&P index was up around 35 point, or 3%.


Hong Kong

Ø       On Mon 16/05, stocks closed for Buddha・s birthday holiday.

Ø       On Tue 17/05, stocks slumped as investors worried about capital outflows as speculation over revaluation of the yuan cools off. Shipping-related counters took the lead in session・s sell-off. The selling put downward pressure on the index heavyweights, including China Mobile, HSBC, Hutchison Whampoa and Sun Hung Kai Properties. The HSI slid 199 points to 13,667.03, turnover was HK$17.67 billion.

Ø       On Wed 18/05, stocks fell for the third day as investors continued to fret about fund outflows and reconsidered earlier bets of a near-term revaluation of the yuan. HSBC accounted for a large portion of drop as the stock started to trade without the right to a dividend of about $1.09. Shipping stocks were among the biggest losers for the second day. The HSI fell 40 points to 13,627.01. Turnover was HK$14.7 billion.

Ø       On Thu 19/05, stocks ended a three-day slump following Wall Street surge, better US consumer price data and retreat in crude prices. China Mobile had the largest positive effect on the key index, rising 1.51% to $26.75. Banking sectors gained after raising the prime lending rate from 5.25% to 5.75%. The HSI gained 71 points to 13,698.93. Turnover slightly increased to HK$15.46 billion.

Ø       On Fri 20/05, stocks managed slightly higher as investors worried about the impacts of rising interest rates and a stronger US dollar. China Mobile took the lead among the blue chips, rising 0.35% to $27.1. But property stocks remained under pressure after Hong Kong raised their lending rates by 50 basis points. The HSI gained 18 points to 13,717.42. Trading was thin at HK$10.75 billion.

For the week, the Hang Seng Index decreased 149 points or 1.07%.


Conclusions and Predictions of Next Week
US stocks rebounded the week with strong gains in all three major gauges. The broad-based advance was sparked by falling oil prices, and investors・ belief that inflation is contained enough so the Federal Reserve won・t have to speed up the pace of its rate-hiking campaign. However, there was a little break Friday as lack of big earnings or economic news. Stocks enjoyed a strong week, with all three major gauges rising through the first four sessions. For the week, the Dow Jones soared 331 points or 3.27% to 10,140.12, the S&P 500 gained 35 points, or 3.05% to 1,189.28, and the Nasdaq rose 69 points or 3.52% to 2,046.42. For next week, market .s focus will likely be the slew of economic reports that are due, including reports on existing and new home sales, as well as the minutes from the most recent Federal Reserve policy-setting meeting. 

Hong Kong stocks continued the downward momentum this week as concern of fund outflow. The market opened lower and fell for two sessions in a row as investors worried about capital outflows and reconsidered earlier bets of a near-term revaluation of the yuan. Thereafter, following Wall Street surge and interest rates, stocks managed gains for the later two sessions. China Mobile performed well rising to $27.1 after announcing it added 3.232 million users last month. On the other hand, property counters were under pressure after Hong Kong banks raised their lending rates. Sun Hung Kai Properties fell to $73.5, Cheung Kong was down to $70 and Henderson Land Development shed to $34.80. For the week, the HSI slid 149 points or 1.07% to 13,717.42. Average daily turnover was fair at HK$14.64 billion.

The Hang Sang Index is likely to be stuck in a range as investors digest the potential negative fallout from last week・s sharp increase in money market rates and a 50 basis point rise in bank lending rates. Investors are moving out of interest-rate-sensitive stocks and into China shares as lingering expectation of a yuan revaluation. The benchmark index is expected to continue to hover between 13,500 and 13,850 points.

 

   Note :  

Investors should note that all information mentioned above is for reference only.

   Daily Morning Market Commentary
   Financial Commentaries (Chinese version only)

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